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Economic Effect of Lower Oil Prices - 8/11/15

While drivers, shippers and airlines continue to bask in the glow of lower fuel prices, the nation’s oil industry is feeling pain in the form of diminished profits, reduced investment and slumping employment.  Oil prices have been down in the range of fifty percent from last year.  As reported by the Associated Press, this has produced a wave of corporate moves, all of which are, all things being equal, reducing economic growth. 

In late July, Exxon Mobil announced that it cut spending by more than one point five billion dollars during the second quarter while Chevron announced that it is laying of fifteen hundred workers.  Exxon Mobil’s profit recently fell to its lowest level since the recession.  Royal Dutch Shell recently announced that its profits declined twenty five percent during the second quarter and that it would cut its global workforce by sixty five hundred. 

Energy service companies like Halliburton and Baker Hughes also revealed additional layoffs during recent quarterly filings.  It could get worse for these firms and others.  Iranian oil is poised to return to the global market after years of sanctions, China’s growth has slowed in recent years, and much of Europe continues to struggle economically.

Anirban Basu, Chariman Chief Executive Officer of Sage Policy Group (SPG), is one of the Mid-Atlantic region's leading economic consultants. Prior to founding SPG he was Chairman and CEO of Optimal Solutions Group, a company he co-founded and which continues to operate. Anirban has also served as Director of Applied Economics and Senior Economist for RESI, where he used his extensive knowledge of the Mid-Atlantic region to support numerous clients in their strategic decision-making processes. Clients have included the Maryland Department of Transportation, St. Paul Companies, Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Players Committee and the Martin O'Malley mayoral campaign.