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Healthcare - 3/7/14

For decades, American policymakers have felt that too much of the nation’s economy was tied to healthcare.  After all, the US spends much more on healthcare than other countries.  The goal among many has been to reduce outlays tied to healthcare, with the logic being that diminished healthcare expenditures would free up resources for other parts of the economy. 

We are now beginning to learn what the economic consequences of slower healthcare growth are and they are not unambiguously positive.  Healthcare employment expanded last year more slowly than overall employment.  In the past, healthcare employment has been a principal economic driver.  The industry added jobs in every month from January 1990 through December 2013 except for 1 month in 2003. 

In 2001, a year of national recession, total employment shrank 1.3 percent but healthcare employment expanded by 3.5 percent.  But as reported in the New York Times, last year health industry payrolls grew by just 1.4 percent, almost a percentage point below the average annual increase during the decade prior to the 2007-2009 recession.
 

Anirban Basu, Chariman Chief Executive Officer of Sage Policy Group (SPG), is one of the Mid-Atlantic region's leading economic consultants. Prior to founding SPG he was Chairman and CEO of Optimal Solutions Group, a company he co-founded and which continues to operate. Anirban has also served as Director of Applied Economics and Senior Economist for RESI, where he used his extensive knowledge of the Mid-Atlantic region to support numerous clients in their strategic decision-making processes. Clients have included the Maryland Department of Transportation, St. Paul Companies, Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Players Committee and the Martin O'Malley mayoral campaign.