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#NPRreads: If You've Got 2016 Winners Penciled In, Think Again

#NPRreads is a new feature we're testing out on Twitter and on The Two-Way. The premise is simple: Correspondents, editors and producers throughout our newsroom will share pieces that have kept them reading. They'll share tidbits on Twitter using the #NPRreads hashtag, and on occasion we'll share a longer take here on the blog.

With that, here's one from NPR White House Correspondent Tamara Keith:

This article from Alex Roarty in National Journal takes the inside-the-beltway conventional wisdom about all-but-declared presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and puts it up against political scientists and their models. Its subhead:

Think Hillary Clinton is likely to win? Think again.

The political scientists argue that all of the obsession with tactics and strategy and relating to voters may have less say over the outcome in November 2016 than the trajectory of the economy, President Obama's approval rating and how ready voters are for a change. It makes me wonder if we should all just curl up by the fire with a stack of good books and check back in 18 months.

Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.

Tamara Keith has been a White House correspondent for NPR since 2014 and co-hosts the NPR Politics Podcast, the top political news podcast in America. Keith has chronicled the Trump administration from day one, putting this unorthodox presidency in context for NPR listeners, from early morning tweets to executive orders and investigations. She covered the final two years of the Obama presidency, and during the 2016 presidential campaign she was assigned to cover Hillary Clinton. In 2018, Keith was elected to serve on the board of the White House Correspondents' Association.